Stephen schneider better place
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However, the model was very simple and the calculation of the CO2 effect was lower than other estimates by a factor of about three, as noted in a footnote to the paper. The story made headlines in The New York Times. Shortly afterwards, Schneider became aware that he had overestimated the cooling effect of aerosols, and underestimated the warming effect of CO2 by a factor of about three.
He had mistakenly assumed that measurements of air particles he had taken near the source of pollution applied worldwide. He also found that much of the effect was due to natural aerosols which would not be affected by human activities, so the cooling effect of changes in industrial pollution would be much less than he had calculated.
Having found that recalculation showed that global warming was the more likely outcome, he published a retraction of his earlier findings in In a January Scientific American article, he wrote: I readily confess a lingering frustration: uncertainties so infuse the issue of climate change that it is still impossible to rule out either mild or catastrophic outcomes, let alone provide confident probabilities for all the claims and counterclaims made about environmental problems.
Even the most credible international assessment body, the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change IPCC , has refused to attempt subjective probabilistic estimates of future temperatures. This has forced politicians to make their own guesses about the likelihood of various degrees of global warming. This citation sometimes was used by his critics to accuse him of supporting misuse of science for political goals: On the one hand, as scientists we are ethically bound to the scientific method, in effect promising to tell the truth, the whole truth, and nothing but — which means that we must include all the doubts, the caveats, the ifs, ands, and buts.
On the other hand, we are not just scientists but human beings as well. And like most people we'd like to see the world a better place, which in this context translates into our working to reduce the risk of potentially disastrous climatic change. To do that we need to get some broadbased support, to capture the public's imagination.
That, of course, entails getting loads of media coverage. So we have to offer up scary scenarios, make simplified, dramatic statements, and make little mention of any doubts we might have. Think you can work around it? Neither of us do. I feel like being a masseuse is a lot like being a clown, except instead of making people smile, you give them erections. See ya tomorrow!
I thought we had something special Consuelo! I like empanadas! The truth is: the one time I agreed to have a man give me a massage was the worst day of my life. I was a member of Equinox for a while when I lived in West Hollywood, the gay capital of the country. A friend of mine worked in the Spa there and she was friendly with all the masseuses. She tells me that her gay friend wants to give me a massage for free. There was nothing I could do.
I had to say yes. I hate when people do that. What the heck! It looked like a piece of lint. A fuckin band-aid would have covered more of my ass. I started looking around for a First-Aid kit. I lie down and the massage starts out pretty normal. Stay awake. You saw Nightmare On Elm Street. And then something weird happened. Mufasa started working the center of my back hard, where I pulled my muscle. I could feel him squeezing my shoulders and digging his knee into my back.
It felt really good. How can his knee be in my back if both of his feet are on the ground? I froze. He was poking me with his pencil. I was frightened to death. My mind started racing.
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