Sporting life open golf betting
Perhaps those who struggle, like Viktor Hovland, will take comfort from being able to reach for putter on occasion, but I'd still be looking towards those who've shown they're comfortable hitting bold pitches from tight lies — shots we see every year at Augusta. The other angle I'm keen to pursue is the one I started with. The likes of Tom Kim and Sungjae Im, who wear the logo of the tournament sponsors on their caps, had no choice but to play here. Others like the well-travelled Emiliano Grillo will have felt like it's an opportunity they couldn't turn down, not with big ranking points on offer and a guaranteed cheque.
They're here because they need to be and at a course which makes for a tough mental challenge, any risk that they're less than sharp is difficult to take on board. Jon Rahm, fresh from that dazzling win in the Open de Espana, would be a close third, and I find it difficult to understand why therefore Scheffler is twice McIlroy's price and five points bigger than Rahm.
The obvious argument is that while McIlroy has been contending everywhere he plays and Rahm won last time, we've only seen Scheffler once since he blew a big lead in the TOUR Championship, and he was poor at the Presidents Cup. That's noted, but his relative struggles over the last few months have largely been down to the putter, a short-term malaise which will end soon. It's difficult to get a firm handle on exactly how he played at Quail Hollow but his Sunday singles score was very solid and whatever the specifics, it's not something we should dwell on.
If anything, playing little part in the USA's victory might fuel a strong end to the year from a player who suddenly has a little more to prove than he should have, having been the star of It's no exaggeration to say that but for a couple of putts he'd be a two-time major winner with five or six PGA Tour wins and the FedEx Cup to his name. Instead, there's a sense of unfinished business not just from the Presidents Cup, but from succumbing to McIlroy before it.
All of which is to say there's nothing at all to worry about and all things being equal, he's overpriced. Then we have the fact that this course should play to his strengths, which are similar to those of McIlroy in that he's dominant off the tee but also razor-sharp around the greens. That's an area of the game that has occasionally let Rahm down this year whereas Scheffler's touch has never been anything but reliable.
He has form under comparable conditions, too. Memorial Park in Houston provides a pretty similar test and he looked like winning there last November. Subsequently, he's won at four difficult courses, including Bay Hill where several players from the Palmetto leaderboard, the likes of Hatton, Swafford, Van Pelt and Vegas among them, have produced plenty of good golf.
Augusta's run-offs are comparable, too, and so is The Concession, where he was fifth last year before becoming the player he is today. A near-miss at Colonial won't be the worst form guide you'll find and if Dallas native Scheffler returns here with his putter firing, he'll surely go close as he has every time that club has worked this year bar The PLAYERS and its huge draw bias. Throw in the fact that he goes well fresh, all of his wins coming off a break including three weeks away prior to the Masters, and he's the standout bet at double-figure odds.
Burns a bet on bermuda With eight of the top 16 in the market having flown in from Japan my shortlist among the elite players included each of the other seven who didn't, with Jordan Spieth's form and apparent course suitability entitling him to respect along with Justin Thomas, similarly brilliant around the green and one of the very best iron players in the sport.
He did however end the week with a half against Hideki Matsuyama and will surely now press on to secure his Ryder Cup debut next September. Unlike Scheffler, we have seen him once since and it's that display when defending his Sanderson Farms title which might set him up well for this.
Burns led the field in strokes-gained off-the-tee and it was driver which had become problematic towards the end of the season, keeping him on the periphery rather than in the mix. Sam Burns left has won twice in Prior to the Sanderson Farms, he last drove it well at Colonial, and that's where he beat Scheffler in a play-off to make it four wins in 13 months, all of them on difficult courses in the southern states, three of them coming on his preferred bermuda greens.
These are Burns' best conditions and his very first win as a professional came close by on the Korn Ferry Tour. Copperhead, Colonial and Jackson might all point towards Congaree in some way and Burns had a fine chance to win at Memorial Park in Houston two years ago, and returning to that title defence he can be excused for struggling with his short-game.
It came days after he'd danced every dance at Quail Hollow and a lack of sharpness with the scoring clubs was no surprise whatsoever. Refreshed having skipped the two subsequent events in Vegas and Japan, Burns is expected to sharpen up and be a factor as the Louisiana native so often is in this part of the USA.
Forgotten man ready to fire Regular readers might expect to see the name Jason Day feature again, after his T8 at the Shriners. The Australian is definitely back on the right track but he's hardened in the betting and it's interesting that Rickie Fowler is the same price he was in Vegas, despite having almost won since then. Surely, seeing what Fox and Hughes have done, he too will be focused on proving a point of his own.
Remember, focus is not something we can ever take for granted — sometimes, players go through the motions. And when Hadwin was fourth here in , he made reference to the fact that impressing Ernie Els was at the forefront of his mind. In six starts here he boasts three top finishes, often hitting it really well and certainly enjoying these greens.
He's shot 59 at PGA West, another desert venue over in California where he's gone close to winning several times. His record in Phoenix might not be so obviously impressive, but he's made seven cuts in a row there and was in contention for that title back in February. Fourth at TPC San Antonio in April adds another layer of substance to an excellent record in the desert and he's an ideal type for a shootout when everything is firing.
On that score, his first start in six weeks saw Hadwin get back to hitting quality approaches to finish 45th, the same spot he filled in the Sanderson Farms last year before returning to Summerlin and stepping up massively for sixth place. Something similar is anticipated and having seen Hughes win to climb from 82nd in the world to 51st, Hadwin will know this is an excellent opportunity not just to prove a point, not just to win his second PGA Tour title, but to climb back towards that all-important top 50 and potentially seal a return to Augusta in the coming weeks.
That was true back in the spring when contending in Texas desert golf , but it was also true when down the field in the Fortinet Championship on his Silverado debut. Woodland's approach play there was top notch and so was his driving last week, ranking first in strokes-gained off the tee through two rounds of the Sanderson Farms, where again his irons were very good.
Short-game issues have confined him to 64th and then a weekend off and they're a big worry, but he deserves the benefit of the doubt now heading to a course he knows and enjoys. Three visits to Summerlin show finishes of 18th, 10th and 55th, his approach play inside the top 10 on the first two and his driving improving with each start. It's a solid record which includes rounds of 63 and 65 and serves as part of Woodland's desert oeuvre; a record of high-class performances at golf courses very similar to this one.
That plus the frequency with which he's contended in Phoenix mark him down as a potential threat at big odds if he can improve his approach work, which was ultimately what cost him the title in the Fortinet Championship three weeks ago.
CLICK HERE to back Day with Sky Bet It's fair to say the Aussie made a quiet start to the new season with a missed cut in the Fortinet, but that was his course debut and he misfired badly off the tee, barely hitting a fairway and ranking among the worst drivers.
That would be more of a worry had he been driving the ball poorly for some time but the opposite is in fact true — he'd gained strokes off the tee in six of his previous seven starts. In recent years and indeed on occasion when at the summit of the sport, it was Day's approach play which sometimes held him back, and that's a source of big encouragement as he seeks a return to where he belongs. Five starts running now he's gained strokes and at Silverado, he was fifth in the field at the halfway mark.
Still, he has a volatile record with the putter of late, not a bad one, and that's good news when it comes to chancing an outsider. Rather than consistently putt slightly worse than the field, he tends to dart around the map and as he's historically been very good on bentgrass, I'm comfortable taking my chances on improvement there.
It's also worth saying that he played well at times during summer and into autumn, leading the Wells Fargo at halfway, signing off with a 66 at the Rocket Mortgage Classic for a top finish, then opening with rounds of 67 and 65 in his final two starts. He remains hard to get a handle on, particularly health-wise, but his best form is still of a very high standard even if it comes along only fleetingly.
And then we come to Summerlin, where he shot for fourth place a decade ago, his second start following on from a solid debut in He's only been back once since, shooting an opening 68 but missing the cut in , and I do feel it's a good course for Day, who has won at Dove Mountain and been runner-up in Qatar as well as winning at Bay Hill, like Laird, Pampling and Bryson DeChambeau.
Perhaps he'll be spurred on by the Presidents Cup, too. When he missed the renewal due to injury, he came out and finished 16th and fourth in his first two events of the Presidents Cup was in mid-December and was contending for majors come the autumn. Things have gone downhill since but his long-game suggests a change of direction is imminent.
CLICK HERE to back Knox with Sky Bet Knox seems to occupy the same sort of position in the market regardless of his game these days, and I think this is a good time to back him following finishes of 25th and 24th to begin the campaign. Better yet, he's gained strokes with the putter in four of his last five starts which represents big improvement having lost strokes in 13 of his previous As well as those contending efforts here in , and he has a very solid record in Phoenix and three tops at PGA West, so I suspect all we need to get him involved again is a handful more fairways and continuity with the putter.
The former feels very attainable at a far less daunting course off the tee than those we've had to start the season, and he looks capable of getting back in the mix. Chris Kirk, KH Lee and Nick Hardy all make some appeal at standout prices but less so at those generally available, while Justin Suh's performances so far haven't been good enough to play the local angle which I'll come to later.
Davis Thompson and namesake Riley both remain on the radar but the latter was hopeless off the tee last week and Thompson may find more suitable opportunities to come.
FOREX FACTORY NIHILIST
Very, very fortunate to have Scott take me out, the pro over there. It was a blast. There's obviously amazing golf courses in the US. This style of golf, I think some people can enjoy more. I enjoy it more. I just like playing the ball along the ground. I like the conditions. I like stuff like that. There's obviously a lot of good both sides.
That's why playing North Berwick was so good because it's more so like St Andrews than Renaissance is. It was cool to get to experience two different links-stye golf courses, playing when it's firm and fast. I think it's enjoyable to play. It has been the one thing lacking in what's developed into a fine career, but 13th place in the PGA Championship, despite not being at his best, might just prove to be a turning point as he hones in on playing team golf for the USA again.
That theory didn't work out at the US Open but Homa played well enough 12th in SG tee-to-green to have been a factor there only to produce one of his worst ever putting performances. That's something he did in last year's BMW Championship before winning on his very next start, and there's no doubt his entire short-game is generally a strength.
We saw his putting improve for 16th place in the Scottish Open where nobody drove the ball better and while his iron play was strangely poor, he'd gained strokes in every start dating back to January's Tournament of Champions. In other words, that tenet of his game could soon return and with everything else firing again, and everything he says about links golf, things might just come together at St Andrews this week. Homa played well enough in last year's Open when well below the form he's been showing throughout , and at a similar price to last month's US Open I'm very keen to give him another chance.
Who is the best longshot for the Open? Outsiders of interest include the big-hitting Wyndham Clark, who said before the Scottish Open that he loves links golf and went on to show it, finishing 14th. His often poor iron play was a real strength and if he can keep it going for his second week in Scotland, he might be the sort of young powerhouse capable of muscling in on the leaderboard. Thriston Lawrence is also worth a mention as a bang in-form South African whose stellar amateur career includes a Lytham Trophy.
He's got a bit of Old Course experience in the Dunhill Links, including a round of 66, and returns for his major debut as a rapidly-improving year-old with echoes of Oosthuizen about him. His form of late is improving, reports from practice in Ireland have been close to bullish, and age is no barrier in the major won by four somethings since He could well build on a good US Open and has to be respected, but preference is for the man I believe would be significantly more reliable come crunch time on Sunday.
At risk of labouring the point, Reed is of course another Masters champion but what I like most is his short-game, which is the envy of many and particularly from tight lies around the green. It's the one thing that remains excellent, too, and has done throughout a quiet year which saw him play some wretched golf in the spring before things slowly began to turn around.
Third place in Portland last time out is certainly not proof that he's solved all his issues but it was another welcome step forward and he'd been showing signs on the PGA Tour beforehand. His driving for instance was fine away from the US PGA, his approach play was genuinely excellent there and good the following week when he finished seventh, and he was making cuts despite putting modestly for the most part.
Now he comes to St Andrews, where a third-round 67 helped him to finish 20th back in , and it's a course which really should suit a player who at his best is most effective the closer he gets to the green. A little extra space off the tee certainly helps and while his overall form is clearly patchy, note that he has made all three cuts in the majors this year and 11 of his last 12 overall, and seven of these have ended in top finishes.
His Open record includes 12th at Troon and 10th at Portrush, his best US Open performance came when fourth on a leaderboard packed with links players at a baked Shinnecock, and the firm, fast conditions of the Old Course are exactly what he needs to compete with the bigger hitters.
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