Headingley 2022 betting tips
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BETTER PLACE SAINT ANSONIA AM VET
As mentioned last week, prior to his trip to the Dunhill Links, signs for Bjerregaard had been positive. His 3rd place finish in the Wales Open seven starts ago is his best result of the year, whilst his 20th in France the 2nd best. A period where each area of his game has fired, if not always at the same time; though in Wales he did show what he is capable of when it does. When finishing 12th here last year, his all-round game was in a worse state, with any results engineered largely by the putter.
That was indeed one of the clubs which fired him to that 12th place finish but he also used his power-packed driving game to his advantage. This is not a surprise when you consider he finished runner-up in the European Masters in and was 9th there the year previous. Some missed cuts mean less than others and the Alfred Dunhill Links certainly falls into that category, even without considering the adverse conditions. Nacho Elvira is my 2nd Spaniard and the first of my three, three-figure shots.
His form has been solid and he has some enticing pieces of correlating form, particularly at the Euro Masters, which gives me confidence he can improve on his 37th place finish here in His year has been inconsistent, though dotted with quality performances; with three top 10s, courtesy of a 6th place finish in the MyGolfLife Open, a 9th place finish in the Soudal Open and another 9th five starts ago in the European Masters.
I am encouraged by two of his four best performances this year coming over his last six starts, with that 9th in the Euro Masters following a 12th place finish in the Wales Open. The Euro Masters result tells me of his ability to go well here, whilst he went even better there in , finishing 4th.
Elvira finished 52nd in the Dunhill Links last week, though opened with an excellent 64, which had him sat 5th after round one. His short-game was the standout area there, whilst he also controlled it well off-the-tee in those tricky conditions and if able to replicate that type of performance here, he can go well this week. It took him a few years to start finding his feet in the pro game, though when he did he never looked back, winning seven times in Asia between ; also showing his ability at this heightened level of the DPWT, finishing 2nd in the Fiji International in , 6th in Sweden in Nordea Masters in and 3rd in the Maybank Championship in This resulted in him starting amongst the top 50 players in the world; earning his way into some of the of the biggest tournaments on both sides of the pond.
Despite starting the year well he struggled coming out of the pandemic, however finished 3rd in the Irish Open towards the end of that year, signalling again a player who could make a name for himself on this tour. At the coming meet therefore, you can expect the the inside posts to be the preferred starting spots in dirt sprints.
Horses should have fair chances to win from anywhere in the starting gate. Not surprisingly, the prevailing bias in these two-turn routes favors horses with inside posts that can work themselves into ground-saving position by the time they hit the first turn. In this way, horses do benefit from drawing one of the inside and middle posts, as horses breaking from outside posts often cannot get over toward the rail in time for the first turn, particularly at the one-mile distance.
Click image to buy shirt. Obviously, it is better to save as much ground and possible and stay within a workable striking distance of the lead, as these horses tend to win the majority of the races. Deep closers often lose too much ground making wide moves, giving the front-runners a better-than-average shot at holding on in the relatively short Santa Anita grass stretch run. Post positions are of utmost importance at Santa Anita in both grass routes and sprints. On the downhill course, the first turn in the race is actually a right turn, which essentially flip-flops the gate and favors the outside posts.
Inside posts are a disadvantage down the hill. At the other turf sprint distances from the backstretch turf chute, inside posts have proven to do exceptionally well, with horses breaking from posts enjoying the highest win percentages by far.
In Santa Anita turf routes, the inside five post positions produce most of the winners, as could be expected with a relatively short run to the first turn. If you are deciding between two horses in a Santa Anita turf route, a post position should be the deciding factor over a horse drawn in an outside post.
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